Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Everybody in, everybody wins.

It is neat talking to the state wide candidates on their strategy to win the race. They all have a path to victory and are happy to talk about it. Having been around a race or two I know they also all have a path to defeat as well but we will save that for another day.

It is interesting how one common thread ran through many of the campaigns.

"If everybody stays in the race then I win" Was a comment heard more then once.

The theory for Gibbons is, he wins Shelby county (his home county) large, does OK in middle Tennessee and the other Republicans divide up East. Gibbons needs the east to be divided to win.

For Ramsey and Wamp it is about the same. They do good in middle and east Tennessee and Gibbons keeps Haslam from being able to buy Shelby. If Gibbons were out of the race they could not financially keep up if it came to a wide open spending spree for the ton of Republican votes that comes out of Shelby. For them to win, Gibbons has to stay in the race.

For Haslam it is a plan of let all the other Republicans divide up their base of conservative support and he wins by doing heavy spending contacts with the moderates, all the undecided and band waggoners. The more people in the race the better.

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