As I prepare for the hate screed that is about to befall me let me start of by saying, I like Ron Paul. I agree with almost all of his ideas. He is a true patriot and a good person. He is probably the most ideologically pure candidate in the field. If he were to win the primary I would support him in the general. No problem.
But sadly, in the general, he can not win.
Before you get into the "But Stacey he's winning here, he's winning there, He won this poll or that poll" lets remember he was winning ALL the polls 4 years ago. Then election day came and he got about 5%. But lets for a second go with the argument he can win the primary. This person stumbles, that person slips, the field stays divided and Ron Paul keeps his 20% or whatever and wins the first few states. It snow balls and he wins the primary. Not to say it can't happen. It did 4 years ago.
The question is, what happens then? I hate to say it, but it is Obama's dream come true. Why? because Paul is the easiest to beat in a general election. Right now Democrats have left Ron Paul alone. Why? They hope he is the nominee. He will be 77 on election day. They will show that fake eyebrow falling off video a mazillion times and make him out as that crazy, mean, old, neighbor who yells at the kids to get off his lawn. Try to remember what they did to squishy soft McCain and multiply that by 50.
UPDATE: Not to mention this video where he says he wants to pardon crack and heroin dealers. That issue alone will kill him.
Many mainstream Republicans (moderates and even some more conservative) will not support him. His foreign policy idea of immediate isolationism is just a bridge too far. The moderate "Rockefeller Republicans" will do what they did to Goldwater only about 10 times worse. Sorry but Ron Paul is a less dynamic Goldwater in a more liberal era.
You counter "Anti war Democrats will cross over and vote for him"
No. They won't. The myth of hard core liberal Democrats crossing over in mass is just that. A myth. Obama is their hero. They won't cross over in mass for that one issue. Remember how all the "anti war" protests ended after the election and Obama won? The foreign involvement did not end. They just got their guy in. Heck Obama got us into a third war and the protests still have not started back up. And even if a few would cross over on that issue alone, think what Obama would do if Ron Paul was the nominee and that issue started to get traction. He would speed up our troop withdrawal. Issue dead. If Ron went all "Pull them all out tomorrow" All our generals would come down against him and all the die hard Republican hawks would abandon him. 30% of the Republicans would say he is just too crazy. He would get 35-40% in the election and Obama would win.
Next I am sure you will argue "You are just in party/media lock step, Your a globalist, support the CFR, are Anti gold standard, love big government, love the UN, don't want to audit the fed, etc., etc., etc."
No, not at all.
I just know those issues matter to about 5% of the population. Get off the Internet and go out and ask Joe six pack what the CFR even stands for. I will bet dollars to doughnuts 9 out of 10 don't even know and if you told them "Council on Foreign Relations" their eyes would glass over and they would ask you about how it could effect the Vols on Saturday.
Are those issues important? Yes. Will those issues beat Obama? No.
You might say "The lesser of two evils is still evil" OK, fine I agree some other candidates may not be perfect on all the issues but to effect change you have to win. Sure, some other candidates may only be with our ideals 80 or 85% of the time but Obama is with us 5% of the time, if that. 85% of the time for us may not be perfect, but it is not evil and sure beats fighting a president who is against us 95% of the time.
If Ron Paul does not win the primary, Democrats hope he or his supporters go third party so they can split the vote (see Ross Perot) or if he does not go third party, they will fan the "I will take my ball and go home" sort of pouting, selfish, childishness that gets us nowhere and puts Obama back in power for 4 more years. They know A lot of good (or bad) can be done in 4 years with the wrong president. We have seen that the last few years.
America can't stand 4 more years of fighting against 95% of the issues that come up because we could only accept 100% or nothing every time.
Ron Paul is a great patriot, solid on many issues, but the country is ready for one or two steps to the right. Not five. Lets take the two and work toward the five instead of going backwards for four.